Manila weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends
Manila sits on Manila Bay, open to the southwest monsoon and the Pacific typhoon belt: a place that knows the drama of two very distinct tropical seasons and the raw power of tropical storms. Manila weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.
Today vs average
+3.7°Chigh well above average
How it's changed
+1.7°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49271days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 134 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 134 in the 1940s+1.7°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 29 mmhigh 29°low 24°February, rain 19 mmhigh 30°low 24°March, rain 20 mmhigh 31°low 25°April, rain 22 mmhigh 33°low 26°May, rain 102 mmhigh 33°low 27°June, rain 194 mmhigh 32°low 26°July, rain 278 mmhigh 30°low 26°August, rain 286 mmhigh 30°low 26°September, rain 258 mmhigh 30°low 25°October, rain 173 mmhigh 30°low 25°November, rain 94 mmhigh 30°low 25°December, rain 89 mmhigh 29°low 24°wettest month August, 286 mm · 1,565 mm a yearsee month by month →Right now
What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.Right now
26.7°
On this date: October 18
High well above average · +3.7°C
- Record high: 33.4° · 1997
- Record low: 23.7° · 1971
- One year ago: 31° / 25°
Every October 18 in history, coldest to hottest
Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 18 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.
Area we sample
Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.
Location & data
Historical weather for Manila is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 14.60°N, 120.98°E, with daily records since 1940.
- Coordinates
- 14.60°N, 120.98°E
- Time zone
- Asia/Manila
- Period
- 1940–2026
- Data source
- ERA5 (ECMWF)
Last 30 days
30 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.3°C.
Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.
This date over the years
One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.
Weather by month
Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.Climate overview
Manila lies on the eastern shore of Manila Bay on the western coast of Luzon in the heart of the Philippine archipelago, with a tropical monsoon climate (Köppen Am). The city has two broad seasons: a dry period running roughly from November through May, and a wet season from June through October when the southwest monsoon delivers sustained heavy rainfall to the western side of the island. The year is consistently hot, with temperatures remaining high even during the drier winter months.
During the wet season, typhoons tracking westward across the Pacific represent the most acute climate hazard, bringing violent winds and catastrophic rainfall to the low-lying city. Manila sits within one of the world's most frequently typhoon-affected urban regions. Between typhoon seasons, the northeast monsoon from November through February brings drier, slightly cooler conditions that mark the most comfortable period of the year.
May brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 33.1°C and nights around 26.6°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 29.0°C and nights dip to 23.5°C.
The yearly total for Manila comes to about 1,565 mm; monthly amounts range from 19 mm in February up to 286 mm in August.
The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Manila has climbed 1.7°C from the first ten years to the last ten. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 135 a year in the first decade to about 270 in the last.
Climate graph (climograph)
May is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 4°C. Wettest month: August (~286 mm). Whole year averages ~1,565 mm of rain.
Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).
Monthly wind
Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.
Monthly solar energy
Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.
Manila month by month: what to expect
Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.
| Month | Avg high | Avg low | Rain | Daylight | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 29.0° | 23.5° | 29 mm | 11.2 h | 33.4° (1998) | 19.8° (2014) |
| February | 30.0° | 23.7° | 19 mm | 11.5 h | 33.9° (1998) | 20.4° (1973) |
| March | 31.4° | 24.7° | 20 mm | 11.9 h | 35.2° (2005) | 20.2° (1944) |
| April | 33.1° | 26.0° | 22 mm | 12.3 h | 36.9° (2024) | 22.0° (1993) |
| May | 33.1° | 26.6° | 102 mm | 12.7 h | 37.0° (2014) | 24.0° (1943) |
| June | 31.6° | 26.2° | 194 mm | 12.9 h | 36.6° (2015) | 24.0° (1961) |
| July | 30.4° | 25.7° | 278 mm | 12.8 h | 35.4° (2007) | 23.8° (1956) |
| August | 29.9° | 25.5° | 286 mm | 12.5 h | 34.4° (2017) | 22.8° (1976) |
| September | 30.0° | 25.4° | 258 mm | 12.1 h | 33.9° (1967) | 23.2° (1941) |
| October | 30.3° | 25.4° | 173 mm | 11.7 h | 34.4° (1962) | 22.9° (1968) |
| November | 30.1° | 25.0° | 94 mm | 11.3 h | 33.5° (2018) | 21.3° (1942) |
| December | 29.2° | 24.2° | 89 mm | 11.1 h | 33.2° (2023) | 19.7° (1942) |
How it's changed
Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.Climate stripes
Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.7°C.
Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer
Annual mean temperature
Long-term trend: +0.16°C per decade.
One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.
Seasonal warming
Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.17°C per decade.
Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.
Hot days vs frost days
Days ≥ 30°C per year: 134.4 early in the record → 271.4 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.
Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.
Yearly hot & cold extremes
All-time high in 2014, all-time low in 1942: 37.0°C / 19.7°C.
One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.
Annual rainfall
~1,565 mm/year on average. Last decade: +21% vs that average. Long-term trend: +55 mm per decade.
One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).
Day-by-day grid
Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).
Frequently asked questions about Manila
Which is the warmest month in Manila?
How does today's temperature in Manila compare to the historical average?
How much has Manila warmed since 1940?
How much does it rain in Manila?
What is the average temperature in Manila?
What are the average temperatures in Manila by month?
Weather in nearby cities
- Putatan32°/27°today+1.8°vs average
- San Jose del Monte33°/25°today+2.2°vs average
- Muntinlupa32°/27°today+1.8°vs average
- Poblacion32°/27°today+1.9°vs average
- Guyong33°/25°today+2.2°vs average
- Binangonan33°/26°today+3.9°vs average
- Guiguinto34°/25°today+2.7°vs average
- San Pedro32°/27°today+1.6°vs average
- Pandi33°/25°today+2.2°vs average
- Rodriguez32°/25°today+1.9°vs average