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Karbala weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Karbala: monthly means span 25.6°C between the coldest month and the warmest. Precipitation is scarce in every season. Karbala weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−1.4°Chigh near average

32° / 24°Today
33° / 19°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.7°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–491frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 3 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 3 in the 1940s205days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 194 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 194 in the 1940s+1.7°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 18 mmhigh 16°low 6°February, rain 15 mmhigh 19°low 8°March, rain 16 mmhigh 24°low 11°April, rain 12 mmhigh 30°low 17°May, rain 4 mmhigh 37°low 22°June, rain 0 mmhigh 41°low 26°July, rain 0 mmhigh 43°low 29°August, rain 0 mmhigh 43°low 28°September, rain 0 mmhigh 40°low 25°October, rain 3 mmhigh 33°low 19°November, rain 15 mmhigh 24°low 12°December, rain 18 mmhigh 17°low 7°wettest month December, 18 mm · 101 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

24.2°

24°feels like
47%humidity
12°dew point
9 km/hfrom NW
UV index0.0
sunrise06:11sunset17:27day length11h 16m
TodayOvercast32°24°
TueOvercast33°24°
WedOvercast35°24°
ThuClear32°24°
FriPartly cloudy31°24°
SatOvercast29°23°
SunMostly clear33°21°

On this date: October 19

Today (forecast)
32° / 24°
Average for October 19
33° / 19°

High near average · −1.4°C

  • Highest since 1940: 37.6° · 2006
  • Lowest since 1940: 12.0° · 1948
  • One year ago: 35° / 21°

Every October 19 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 19 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Karbala is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 32.62°N, 44.02°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
32.62°N, 44.02°E
Time zone
Asia/Baghdad
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

28 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.6°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

July brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 43.3°C and nights around 28.6°C. On about 175 nights a year, the temperature never drops below 20°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 15.8°C and overnight lows sit around 5.8°C.

Karbala averages only about 101 mm a year, and what little falls comes mostly around December.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Karbala now averages 1.7°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. The last decade has also run wetter, about 15% above the long-term precipitation average.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 26°C. Wettest month: December (~18 mm). Whole year averages ~101 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Karbala month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightHighestLowest
January15.8°5.8°18 mm10.1 h26.7° (2010)−5.1° (1942)
February18.9°7.5°15 mm10.8 h30.9° (2010)−2.6° (1950)
March23.8°11.4°16 mm11.8 h39.8° (2018)0.2° (1983)
April30.4°16.9°12 mm12.8 h44.4° (2008)2.1° (1956)
May36.8°22.4°4 mm13.7 h48.0° (1999)11.2° (1948)
June41.1°26.5°0 mm14.1 h50.0° (2024)18.2° (1973)
July43.3°28.6°0 mm13.9 h50.8° (1978)22.1° (1972)
August43.3°28.1°0 mm13.2 h51.4° (2003)21.1° (1971)
September39.9°24.5°0 mm12.2 h49.1° (2008)16.4° (2009)
October33.4°19.1°3 mm11.2 h44.2° (2015)5.9° (1969)
November24.0°12.2°15 mm10.3 h36.0° (1991)−0.5° (1953)
December17.3°7.2°18 mm9.9 h29.4° (2005)−3.1° (1953)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.7°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.31°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Jun–Aug is warming fastest: +0.38°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 194.2 early in the record → 205.3 recently. Frost days: 3 → 1.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2003, coldest in 1942: 51.4°C / −5.1°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~101 mm/year on average. Last decade: +15% vs that average. Long-term trend: +3 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Karbala

Which is the warmest month in Karbala?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Karbala is July (mean daily temperature of about 36.1°C) and the coolest is January (about 10.5°C).
How does today's temperature in Karbala compare to the historical average?
On October 19, 2026, Karbala is forecast to reach a high of 31.8°C and a low of 23.6°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 33.2°C and a low of 19.0°C, so today's high is 1.4°C cooler than that average.
How much has Karbala warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Karbala is about 1.7°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Karbala?
Karbala receives about 101 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with December typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Karbala?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Karbala is about 24.1°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Karbala by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Karbala (°C, full record since 1940): January 16°/6°, February 19°/8°, March 24°/11°, April 30°/17°, May 37°/22°, June 41°/26°, July 43°/29°, August 43°/28°, September 40°/25°, October 33°/19°, November 24°/12°, December 17°/7°.
What is the weather like in Karbala in summer?
In summer, June through August, Karbala is dry and really hot. Afternoons run 41–43°C and nights 26–29°C; July is the warmest month. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in Karbala in winter?
Winter in Karbala (December to February) is dry and fairly mild. Expect 16–19°C by day and 6–8°C at night, with January the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 17 mm a month.
What is the weather like in Karbala in spring?
March to May is spring in Karbala, and it is dry and hot. March is still 24°C in the afternoon and 11°C at night, May already 37°C and 22°C. Rain falls off from 16 mm in March to 4 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Karbala in autumn?
Autumn in Karbala (September to November) is dry and hot. September is still 40°C by day and 25°C at night; by November it is down to 24°C and 12°C. Hardly any rain falls.

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