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Emalahleni weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures in Emalahleni follow a clear seasonal rhythm, rising and falling by 10.3°C over the course of the year. The heavier rain months run from October to March. Emalahleni weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+5.1°Chigh well above average

29° / 15°Today
24° / 12°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.6°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–494frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 10 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 10 in the 1940s20days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 6 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 6 in the 1940s+1.6°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 134 mmhigh 25°low 15°February, rain 106 mmhigh 25°low 15°March, rain 91 mmhigh 24°low 13°April, rain 57 mmhigh 22°low 10°May, rain 19 mmhigh 20°low 6°June, rain 8 mmhigh 17°low 3°July, rain 5 mmhigh 18°low 3°August, rain 10 mmhigh 20°low 6°September, rain 27 mmhigh 24°low 10°October, rain 78 mmhigh 25°low 12°November, rain 125 mmhigh 24°low 13°December, rain 141 mmhigh 25°low 14°wettest month December, 141 mm · 800 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

18.3°

16°feels like
57%humidity
10°dew point
18 km/hfrom SW
UV index0.0
sunrise05:24sunset18:11day length12h 47m
TodayPartly cloudy29°15°
TueClear26°10°
WedMostly clear28°12°
ThuClear31°11°
FriClear31°15°
SatMostly clear26°14°
SunMostly clear30°14°

On this date: October 19

Today (forecast)
29° / 15°
Average for October 19
24° / 12°

High well above average · +5.1°C

  • Highest since 1940: 33.0° · 2002
  • Lowest since 1940: 2.3° · 1965
  • One year ago: 23° / 10°

Every October 19 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 19 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Emalahleni is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 25.87°S, 29.23°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
25.87°S, 29.23°E
Time zone
Africa/Johannesburg
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

17 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.5°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in January, at around 25.2°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 14.8°C. In June, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 17.3°C and nights dip to 3.0°C.

Emalahleni picks up roughly 800 mm a year, with a peak of 141 mm in December and as little as 5 mm in July.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Emalahleni now averages 1.6°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. The count of days past 30°C has risen from roughly 6 a year to 20 between the record's first and last decades.

Climate graph (climograph)

January is the warmest month, June the coolest: a yearly swing of 10°C. Wettest month: December (~141 mm). Whole year averages ~800 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 85 rainy days a year: most in December (~15), fewest in July (~1).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Emalahleni month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January25.2°14.8°134 mm1413.5 h35.6° (2016)8.0° (1961)
February25.0°14.6°106 mm1112.9 h33.4° (1992)4.8° (1940)
March24.0°13.3°91 mm1012.2 h33.7° (1999)6.0° (1963)
April21.8°10.3°57 mm611.4 h30.9° (1998)1.0° (1972)
May19.8°6.4°19 mm210.7 h29.0° (2024)−2.9° (2007)
June17.3°3.0°8 mm110.4 h25.6° (1998)−5.2° (1964)
July17.6°2.8°5 mm110.5 h26.2° (2002)−4.3° (1963)
August20.3°5.8°10 mm111.1 h29.6° (1941)−3.7° (1963)
September23.7°9.6°27 mm311.9 h32.8° (2018)0.5° (1956)
October24.7°11.8°78 mm812.6 h34.1° (2019)0.9° (1965)
November24.2°13.0°125 mm1313.3 h34.5° (2015)4.6° (1968)
December24.7°14.2°141 mm1513.6 h35.0° (2024)4.1° (1994)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.6°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.19°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.23°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 6.0 early in the record → 19.8 recently. Frost days: 10 → 4.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2016, coldest in 1964: 35.6°C / −5.2°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~800 mm/year on average. Last decade: −7% vs that average. Long-term trend: −12 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Emalahleni

Which is the warmest month in Emalahleni?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Emalahleni is January (mean daily temperature of about 19.6°C) and the coolest is June (about 9.3°C).
How does today's temperature in Emalahleni compare to the historical average?
On October 19, 2026, Emalahleni is forecast to reach a high of 29.0°C and a low of 14.5°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 23.9°C and a low of 11.6°C, so today's high is 5.1°C warmer than that average.
How much has Emalahleni warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Emalahleni is about 1.6°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Emalahleni?
Emalahleni receives about 800 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with December typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Emalahleni?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Emalahleni is about 15.6°C. The warmest month is January and the coolest is June.
What are the average temperatures in Emalahleni by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Emalahleni (°C, full record since 1940): January 25°/15°, February 25°/15°, March 24°/13°, April 22°/10°, May 20°/6°, June 17°/3°, July 18°/3°, August 20°/6°, September 24°/10°, October 25°/12°, November 24°/13°, December 25°/14°.
What is the weather like in Emalahleni in summer?
Summer in Emalahleni (December to February) is wet and pleasantly warm. Daytime highs sit at 25°C and nights at 14–15°C; January is the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 127 mm a month, spread over roughly 13 days. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Emalahleni in winter?
In winter, June through August, Emalahleni is dry and mild. Afternoons run 17–20°C and nights 3–6°C; July is the coldest month. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in Emalahleni in spring?
Spring in Emalahleni (September to November) is pleasantly warm. Expect 24–25°C by day and 10–13°C at night, with October the warmest month. Rain rises from 27 mm on 3 days in September to 125 mm on 13 days in November.
What is the weather like in Emalahleni in autumn?
March to May is autumn in Emalahleni, and it is mild. March is still 24°C by day and 13°C at night; by May it is down to 20°C and 6°C. Rain falls off from 91 mm on 10 days in March to 19 mm on 2 days in May.
How many days a year does it rain in Emalahleni?
On long-term average, Emalahleni has about 85 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 800 mm.

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