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City of Westminster weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

City of Westminster has well-marked seasons, with 12.9°C between its warmest and coolest monthly means. Rainfall is spread quite evenly across the year. City of Westminster weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−1.9°Chigh below average

12° / 9°Today
14° / 8°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.4°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4921frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 45 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 45 in the 1940s3days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 1 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 1 in the 1940s+1.4°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 57 mmhigh 7°low 2°February, rain 47 mmhigh 7°low 2°March, rain 50 mmhigh 10°low 4°April, rain 51 mmhigh 13°low 5°May, rain 59 mmhigh 16°low 8°June, rain 56 mmhigh 19°low 11°July, rain 56 mmhigh 21°low 13°August, rain 58 mmhigh 21°low 13°September, rain 51 mmhigh 18°low 11°October, rain 58 mmhigh 15°low 8°November, rain 60 mmhigh 10°low 5°December, rain 56 mmhigh 8°low 3°wettest month November, 60 mm · 659 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

10.5°

6°feels like
61%humidity
3°dew point
17 km/hfrom SW
UV index0.0
sunrise07:35sunset17:55day length10h 20m
TodayDrizzle12°9°
ThuClear15°9°
FriDrizzle13°9°
SatDrizzle15°8°
SunClear14°10°
MonOvercast17°9°
TueHeavy drizzle17°11°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
12° / 9°
Average for October 21
14° / 8°

High below average · −1.9°C

  • Highest since 1940: 18.0° · 1945
  • Lowest since 1940: −0.1° · 2010
  • One year ago: 15° / 11°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for City of Westminster is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 51.50°N, 0.14°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
51.50°N, 0.14°W
Time zone
Europe/London
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

24 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.2°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in July, at around 21.3°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 13.4°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 6.7°C and nights dip to 2.1°C.

In total, City of Westminster averages about 659 mm of precipitation a year; November is usually the wettest month (60 mm) and February the driest (47 mm).

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in City of Westminster has risen by 1.4°C between its first decade and its last. Frost days have thinned out, from around 45 a year in the first decade to about 20 now.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 13°C. Wettest month: November (~60 mm). Whole year averages ~659 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 94 rainy days a year: most in May (~9), fewest in September (~7).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

City of Westminster month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January6.7°2.1°57 mm88.1 h14.5° (2015)−12.0° (1963)
February7.3°2.2°47 mm79.7 h18.5° (2019)−15.3° (1986)
March9.9°3.5°50 mm811.5 h22.1° (2021)−13.3° (1947)
April12.8°5.3°51 mm813.6 h26.7° (2018)−2.5° (1968)
May16.2°8.3°59 mm915.4 h29.6° (1944)−0.5° (1945)
June19.3°11.3°56 mm816.4 h32.3° (1947)2.7° (1962)
July21.3°13.4°56 mm716.0 h37.7° (2022)6.9° (1965)
August21.0°13.2°58 mm714.4 h34.4° (1990)6.3° (1974)
September18.4°11.1°51 mm712.4 h30.9° (2023)2.9° (1948)
October14.5°8.4°58 mm810.4 h27.7° (2011)−1.7° (1997)
November10.1°4.9°60 mm88.6 h17.5° (2005)−4.5° (2010)
December7.7°3.2°56 mm87.6 h15.3° (2015)−12.8° (1981)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.4°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.21°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.29°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 0.8 early in the record → 3.3 recently. Frost days: 45 → 21.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2022, coldest in 1986: 37.7°C / −15.3°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~659 mm/year on average. Last decade: +11% vs that average. Long-term trend: +25 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about City of Westminster

Which is the warmest month in City of Westminster?
On long-term average, the warmest month in City of Westminster is July (mean daily temperature of about 17.4°C) and the coolest is January (about 4.5°C).
How does today's temperature in City of Westminster compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, City of Westminster is forecast to reach a high of 11.9°C and a low of 9.1°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 13.8°C and a low of 8.0°C, so today's high is 1.9°C cooler than that average.
How much has City of Westminster warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in City of Westminster is about 1.4°C warmer.
How much does it rain in City of Westminster?
City of Westminster receives about 659 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with November typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in City of Westminster?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in City of Westminster is about 10.6°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in City of Westminster by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in City of Westminster (°C, full record since 1940): January 7°/2°, February 7°/2°, March 10°/4°, April 13°/5°, May 16°/8°, June 19°/11°, July 21°/13°, August 21°/13°, September 18°/11°, October 15°/8°, November 10°/5°, December 8°/3°.
What is the weather like in City of Westminster in summer?
June to August is summer in City of Westminster, and it is mild. Expect 19–21°C by day and 11–13°C at night, with July the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 57 mm a month, spread over roughly 7 days.
What is the weather like in City of Westminster in winter?
December to February is winter in City of Westminster, and it is cold. Daytime highs sit at 7–8°C and nights at 2–3°C; January is the coldest month. Rain falls on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 53 mm.
What is the weather like in City of Westminster in spring?
Spring in City of Westminster (March to May) is cool. It warms from 10°C by day and 4°C at night in March to 16°C and 8°C in May. Rain is steady at around 53 mm a month, spread over roughly 8 days.
What is the weather like in City of Westminster in autumn?
Autumn in City of Westminster (September to November) is cool. September is still 18°C by day and 11°C at night; by November it is down to 10°C and 5°C. Rain falls on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 56 mm.
How many days a year does it rain in City of Westminster?
On long-term average, City of Westminster has about 94 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 659 mm.

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