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Khmelnytskyi weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Khmelnytskyi: monthly means span 23.6°C between the coldest month and the warmest. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from May to September. Khmelnytskyi weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−2.2°Chigh below average

11° / 5°Today
13° / 4°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.6°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49106frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 142 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 142 in the 1940s9days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 3 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 3 in the 1940s+2.6°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 42 mmhigh −2°low −8°February, rain 42 mmhigh −1°low −6°March, rain 43 mmhigh 4°low −3°April, rain 57 mmhigh 13°low 3°May, rain 73 mmhigh 19°low 9°June, rain 92 mmhigh 22°low 12°July, rain 97 mmhigh 24°low 14°August, rain 73 mmhigh 23°low 13°September, rain 62 mmhigh 18°low 9°October, rain 47 mmhigh 12°low 4°November, rain 49 mmhigh 5°low 0°December, rain 45 mmhigh 0°low −5°wettest month July, 97 mm · 721 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

6.5°

5°feels like
89%humidity
5°dew point
5 km/hfrom NW
UV index0.0
sunrise07:30sunset18:26day length10h 57m
TueOvercast11°5°
WedMostly clear12°1°
ThuOvercast11°6°
FriLight rain8°4°
SatOvercast10°8°
SunOvercast11°9°
MonOvercast11°8°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
11° / 5°
Average for October 12
13° / 4°

High below average · −2.2°C

  • Record high: 23.8° · 1995
  • Record low: −3.8° · 2004
  • One year ago: 13° / 8°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Khmelnytskyi is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 49.42°N, 26.98°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
49.42°N, 26.98°E
Time zone
Europe/Kyiv
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

25 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.7°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in July, at around 23.6°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 13.8°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about −2.3°C and nights dip to −7.5°C.

In total, Khmelnytskyi averages about 721 mm of precipitation a year; July is usually the wettest month (97 mm) and January the driest (42 mm).

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Khmelnytskyi has risen by 2.6°C between its first decade and its last. Where the first decade averaged 140 frost days a year, the recent one saw about 105.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 24°C. Wettest month: July (~97 mm). Whole year averages ~721 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 96 rainy days a year: most in June (~11), fewest in October (~6).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Khmelnytskyi month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January−2.3°−7.5°42 mm68.4 h14.4° (2023)−33.6° (1940)
February−0.6°−6.4°42 mm79.9 h17.1° (1990)−27.9° (2012)
March4.4°−2.6°43 mm711.6 h23.6° (2024)−24.3° (1987)
April12.5°3.4°57 mm913.5 h28.7° (2012)−13.7° (1944)
May18.6°8.6°73 mm1015.1 h31.0° (1994)−2.7° (1999)
June21.9°12.2°92 mm1116.0 h33.2° (1963)2.9° (1990)
July23.6°13.8°97 mm1115.7 h34.8° (2005)7.1° (1984)
August23.3°13.0°73 mm814.2 h35.4° (2023)2.7° (1966)
September18.5°8.9°62 mm712.3 h35.3° (2015)−3.7° (1977)
October11.8°3.9°47 mm610.5 h25.4° (1999)−8.3° (2003)
November4.7°−0.2°49 mm78.8 h20.3° (2010)−19.4° (1979)
December0.0°−4.5°45 mm78.0 h13.4° (1961)−25.5° (1941)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.6°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.32°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.49°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 3.3 early in the record → 9.3 recently. Frost days: 142 → 106.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2023, all-time low in 1940: 35.4°C / −33.6°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~721 mm/year on average. Last decade: −4% vs that average. Long-term trend: +8 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Khmelnytskyi

Which is the warmest month in Khmelnytskyi?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Khmelnytskyi is July (mean daily temperature of about 18.9°C) and the coolest is January (about −4.7°C).
How does today's temperature in Khmelnytskyi compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Khmelnytskyi is forecast to reach a high of 11.1°C and a low of 5.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 13.3°C and a low of 4.5°C, so today's high is 2.2°C cooler than that average.
How much has Khmelnytskyi warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Khmelnytskyi is about 2.6°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Khmelnytskyi?
Khmelnytskyi receives about 721 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with July typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Khmelnytskyi?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Khmelnytskyi is about 7.7°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Khmelnytskyi by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Khmelnytskyi (°C, full record since 1940): January −2°/−8°, February −1°/−6°, March 4°/−3°, April 13°/3°, May 19°/9°, June 22°/12°, July 24°/14°, August 23°/13°, September 18°/9°, October 12°/4°, November 5°/0°, December 0°/−5°.
What is the weather like in Khmelnytskyi in summer?
In summer, June through August, Khmelnytskyi is pleasantly warm. Afternoons run 22–24°C and nights 12–14°C; July is the warmest month. Rain is steady at around 87 mm a month, spread over roughly 10 days. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Khmelnytskyi in winter?
Winter in Khmelnytskyi (December to February) is cold, with afternoons close to freezing. Expect −2 to 0°C by day and −8 to −5°C at night, with January the coldest month. Snow is steady at around 43 mm of precipitation a month, spread over roughly 7 days. It is the driest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Khmelnytskyi in spring?
In spring, March through May, Khmelnytskyi is cool. March is still 4°C in the afternoon and −3°C at night, May already 19°C and 9°C. Rain rises from 43 mm on 7 days in March to 73 mm on 10 days in May.
What is the weather like in Khmelnytskyi in autumn?
September to November is autumn in Khmelnytskyi, and it is cool. It cools from 18°C by day and 9°C at night in September to 5°C and 0°C in November. Rain falls on about 7 days a month, adding up to around 52 mm.
How many days a year does it rain in Khmelnytskyi?
On long-term average, Khmelnytskyi has about 96 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 721 mm.

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