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Chernihiv weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Chernihiv swings through a wide annual range, with 25.5°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. The heavier rain months run from May to August. Chernihiv weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+3.8°Chigh well above average

13° / 10°Today
9° / 3°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+3.0°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49110frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 151 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 151 in the 1940s16days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 3 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 3 in the 1940s+3.0°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 46 mmhigh −3°low −9°February, rain 42 mmhigh −2°low −8°March, rain 43 mmhigh 3°low −4°April, rain 50 mmhigh 12°low 3°May, rain 60 mmhigh 19°low 9°June, rain 75 mmhigh 23°low 13°July, rain 87 mmhigh 24°low 14°August, rain 67 mmhigh 24°low 13°September, rain 53 mmhigh 18°low 9°October, rain 49 mmhigh 11°low 3°November, rain 52 mmhigh 4°low −1°December, rain 51 mmhigh −1°low −5°wettest month July, 87 mm · 676 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

9.8°

8°feels like
87%humidity
8°dew point
6 km/hfrom E
UV index0.0
sunrise07:29sunset17:49day length10h 21m
TodayOvercast13°10°
ThuOvercast13°8°
FriOvercast13°9°
SatOvercast14°10°
SunOvercast14°8°
MonOvercast11°7°
TuePartly cloudy11°5°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
13° / 10°
Average for October 21
9° / 3°

High well above average · +3.8°C

  • Highest since 1940: 18.5° · 2021
  • Lowest since 1940: −6.6° · 1994
  • One year ago: 8° / 5°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 86). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Chernihiv is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 51.51°N, 31.29°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
51.51°N, 31.29°E
Time zone
Europe/Kyiv
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

26 of the last 30 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.4°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

July brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 24.3°C and nights around 14.4°C. In a typical recent year, around 15 days reach 30°C or more. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about −3.5°C and nights dip to −8.8°C.

Chernihiv picks up roughly 676 mm a year, with a peak of 87 mm in July and as little as 42 mm in February.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Chernihiv has climbed 3.0°C from the first ten years to the last ten. Where the first decade averaged 150 frost days a year, the recent one saw about 110.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 26°C. Wettest month: July (~87 mm). Whole year averages ~676 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 92 rainy days a year: most in July (~10), fewest in February (~7).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Chernihiv month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January−3.5°−8.8°46 mm78.1 h11.0° (2023)−37.5° (1940)
February−2.2°−8.1°42 mm79.7 h14.1° (1990)−33.3° (1956)
March3.3°−3.7°43 mm711.5 h24.3° (2024)−30.6° (1964)
April12.4°3.3°50 mm713.6 h29.1° (2012)−12.1° (1944)
May19.2°8.9°60 mm915.4 h33.3° (2007)−1.6° (1999)
June22.8°12.8°75 mm916.4 h37.5° (2021)2.9° (1977)
July24.3°14.4°87 mm1016.0 h36.0° (2024)7.2° (1976)
August23.8°13.3°67 mm814.4 h38.4° (2010)1.2° (1966)
September18.3°8.6°53 mm712.4 h34.7° (2015)−3.7° (1986)
October11.1°3.4°49 mm710.4 h27.0° (1999)−13.2° (1979)
November3.5°−1.3°52 mm78.6 h18.0° (2010)−23.4° (1998)
December−1.0°−5.4°51 mm87.6 h12.6° (2008)−30.3° (1941)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +3.0°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.37°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.57°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 3.2 early in the record → 15.6 recently. Frost days: 151 → 110.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2010, coldest in 1940: 38.4°C / −37.5°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~676 mm/year on average. Last decade: −2% vs that average. Long-term trend: +7 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Chernihiv

Which is the warmest month in Chernihiv?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Chernihiv is July (mean daily temperature of about 19.6°C) and the coolest is January (about −5.9°C).
How does today's temperature in Chernihiv compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Chernihiv is forecast to reach a high of 13.2°C and a low of 9.5°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 9.4°C and a low of 2.6°C, so today's high is 3.8°C warmer than that average.
How much has Chernihiv warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Chernihiv is about 3.0°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Chernihiv?
Chernihiv receives about 676 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with July typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Chernihiv?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Chernihiv is about 7.3°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Chernihiv by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Chernihiv (°C, full record since 1940): January −3°/−9°, February −2°/−8°, March 3°/−4°, April 12°/3°, May 19°/9°, June 23°/13°, July 24°/14°, August 24°/13°, September 18°/9°, October 11°/3°, November 4°/−1°, December −1°/−5°.
What is the weather like in Chernihiv in summer?
Summer in Chernihiv (June to August) is pleasantly warm. Daytime highs sit at 23–24°C and nights at 13–14°C; July is the warmest month. Rain falls on about 9 days a month, adding up to around 76 mm. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Chernihiv in winter?
Winter in Chernihiv (December to February) is cold, with afternoons close to freezing. Afternoons run −3 to −1°C and nights −9 to −5°C; January is the coldest month. Snow falls on about 7 days a month, adding up to around 46 mm of precipitation.
What is the weather like in Chernihiv in spring?
In spring, March through May, Chernihiv is cool. March starts at 3°C by day and −4°C at night; by May it is 19°C and 9°C. Rain and snow fall on about 7 days a month, adding up to around 51 mm.
What is the weather like in Chernihiv in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Chernihiv is on the cool side. September is still 18°C by day and 9°C at night; by November it is down to 4°C and −1°C. Rain is steady at around 51 mm a month, spread over roughly 7 days.
How many days a year does it rain in Chernihiv?
On long-term average, Chernihiv has about 92 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 676 mm.

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