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Cerro weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Cerro is warm in every month of the year; the seasonal dip amounts to just 5.6°C. The heavier rain months run from May to October. Cerro weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+2.8°Chigh above average

32° / 25°Today
30° / 24°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+0.1°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49148days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 141 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 141 in the 1940s+0.1°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 33 mmhigh 26°low 20°February, rain 35 mmhigh 26°low 20°March, rain 27 mmhigh 28°low 21°April, rain 29 mmhigh 29°low 22°May, rain 87 mmhigh 30°low 24°June, rain 142 mmhigh 30°low 25°July, rain 91 mmhigh 31°low 25°August, rain 107 mmhigh 31°low 25°September, rain 131 mmhigh 30°low 25°October, rain 95 mmhigh 29°low 24°November, rain 41 mmhigh 27°low 22°December, rain 31 mmhigh 26°low 21°wettest month June, 142 mm · 851 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

32.1°

35°feels like
59%humidity
23°dew point
18 km/hfrom S
UV index5.8
sunrise07:23sunset19:10day length11h 47m
TodayPartly cloudy32°25°
FriPartly cloudy33°26°
SatOvercast31°26°
SunOvercast35°26°
MonOvercast32°26°
TuePartly cloudy32°27°
WedShowers30°26°

On this date: October 8

Today (forecast)
32° / 25°
Average for October 8
30° / 24°

High above average · +2.8°C

  • Record high: 32.6° · 2009
  • Record low: 21.7° · 1984
  • One year ago: 30° / 25°

Every October 8 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 8 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Cerro is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 23.11°N, 82.39°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
23.11°N, 82.39°W
Time zone
America/Havana
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

21 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +0.5°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in August, at around 31.3°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 25.3°C. Roughly 150 days a year now top 30°C. In January, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 25.6°C and nights dip to 19.5°C.

In total, Cerro averages about 851 mm of precipitation a year; June is usually the wettest month (142 mm) and March the driest (27 mm).

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Cerro now averages 0.1°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. You can follow the shift year by year in the charts below.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 6°C. Wettest month: June (~142 mm). Whole year averages ~851 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Cerro month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightRecord highRecord low
January25.6°19.5°33 mm10.7 h30.7° (1947)9.3° (1981)
February26.3°19.7°35 mm11.2 h31.5° (1961)11.6° (1970)
March27.6°20.7°27 mm11.8 h33.0° (1944)12.4° (1968)
April29.0°22.1°29 mm12.5 h34.2° (1958)14.2° (1950)
May30.0°23.6°87 mm13.1 h34.6° (1995)17.7° (2013)
June30.4°24.7°142 mm13.4 h36.5° (1998)21.3° (1979)
July31.3°25.2°91 mm13.3 h36.4° (1962)23.1° (2013)
August31.3°25.3°107 mm12.8 h35.0° (1997)22.9° (1950)
September30.4°24.9°131 mm12.1 h34.0° (1956)21.1° (1950)
October28.9°23.8°95 mm11.4 h33.0° (2009)17.1° (2008)
November27.5°22.0°41 mm10.9 h31.9° (1958)14.3° (1959)
December26.3°20.5°31 mm10.6 h30.9° (1955)11.9° (2010)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +0.1°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.03°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.06°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 141.0 early in the record → 147.9 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 1998, all-time low in 1981: 36.5°C / 9.3°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~851 mm/year on average. Last decade: +3% vs that average. Long-term trend: +11 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Cerro

Which is the warmest month in Cerro?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Cerro is August (mean daily temperature of about 27.9°C) and the coolest is January (about 22.2°C).
How does today's temperature in Cerro compare to the historical average?
On October 8, 2026, Cerro is forecast to reach a high of 32.4°C and a low of 24.8°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 29.6°C and a low of 24.4°C, so today's high is 2.8°C warmer than that average.
How much has Cerro warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Cerro is about 0.1°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Cerro?
Cerro receives about 851 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with June typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Cerro?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Cerro is about 25.3°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Cerro by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Cerro (°C, full record since 1940): January 26°/20°, February 26°/20°, March 28°/21°, April 29°/22°, May 30°/24°, June 30°/25°, July 31°/25°, August 31°/25°, September 30°/25°, October 29°/24°, November 27°/22°, December 26°/21°.

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