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Cary weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Cary swings through a wide annual range, with 37.7°F between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. Rainfall is spread quite evenly across the year. Cary weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+1.7°Fhigh near average

69° / 42°Today
68° / 49°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.2°Faverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4940frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 44 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 44 in the 1940s76days above 86°F a year now (2016–2025) · 42 in the 1940sdays above 86°F · 42 in the 1940s+2.2°F vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 3.6 incheshigh 50°low 33°February, rain 3.5 incheshigh 54°low 35°March, rain 4.1 incheshigh 62°low 42°April, rain 3.4 incheshigh 71°low 51°May, rain 3.6 incheshigh 79°low 59°June, rain 3.8 incheshigh 85°low 67°July, rain 5.1 incheshigh 88°low 71°August, rain 4.7 incheshigh 86°low 70°September, rain 4.1 incheshigh 80°low 64°October, rain 3.0 incheshigh 71°low 52°November, rain 3.2 incheshigh 62°low 43°December, rain 3.4 incheshigh 53°low 36°wettest month July, 5.1 inches · 45.5 inches a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

48.7°

45°feels like
82%humidity
43°dew point
5 mphfrom NE
UV index0.0
sunrise07:31sunset18:26day length10h 54m
TodayClear69°42°
TueClear74°49°
WedClear72°53°
ThuOvercast74°56°
FriClear78°57°
SatOvercast74°59°
SunOvercast72°61°

On this date: October 26

Today (forecast)
69° / 42°
Average for October 26
68° / 49°

High near average · +1.7°F

  • Highest since 1940: 80.6° · 2010
  • Lowest since 1940: 29.0° · 2013
  • One year ago: 62° / 43°

Every October 26 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 26 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Cary is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 35.79°N, 78.78°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
35.79°N, 78.78°W
Time zone
America/New York
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

17 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.0°F.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in July, at around 87.6°F by mid-afternoon, with nights around 70.8°F. Around 85 nights a year stay above 68°F. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 50.2°F and overnight lows sit around 33.1°F. Around 40 days a year dip below freezing.

In total, Cary averages about 45.5 inches of precipitation a year; July is usually the wettest month (5.1 inches) and October the driest (3.0 inches).

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Cary now averages 2.2°F warmer than it did in the 1940s. The count of days past 86°F has risen from roughly 40 a year to 75 between the record's first and last decades.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 38°F. Wettest month: July (~5.1 in). Whole year averages ~45.5 inches of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 104 rainy days a year: most in July (~13), fewest in October (~6).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 0.08 in per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Cary month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January50.2°33.1°3.6 in89.8 h76.6° (2022)−4.3° (1985)
February53.8°35.0°3.5 in810.7 h81.1° (1989)−1.8° (1996)
March61.7°41.7°4.1 in911.7 h88.1° (1968)14.3° (1980)
April71.5°50.8°3.4 in812.9 h96.1° (1981)25.9° (2007)
May78.6°59.3°3.6 in913.9 h97.8° (2011)35.4° (1956)
June85.1°66.9°3.8 in1014.4 h106.1° (2012)44.7° (1972)
July87.6°70.8°5.1 in1314.2 h106.1° (1977)55.2° (1988)
August85.7°69.5°4.7 in1113.4 h104.4° (1988)52.5° (1965)
September80.4°63.6°4.1 in812.2 h99.5° (1954)41.0° (1950)
October71.2°52.2°3.0 in611.1 h97.1° (2019)23.6° (1962)
November61.7°42.6°3.2 in610.1 h83.9° (1950)14.5° (1970)
December52.9°35.7°3.4 in89.6 h79.3° (2007)2.6° (1958)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.2°F.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.27°F per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.32°F per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 86°F per year: 41.7 early in the record → 75.5 recently. Frost days: 44 → 40.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2012, coldest in 1985: 106.1°F / −4.3°F.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~45.5 in/year on average. Last decade: +9% vs that average. Long-term trend: +0.46 in per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Cary

Which is the warmest month in Cary?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Cary is July (mean daily temperature of about 78.3°F) and the coolest is January (about 40.5°F).
How does today's temperature in Cary compare to the historical average?
On October 26, 2026, Cary is forecast to reach a high of 69.3°F and a low of 41.5°F. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 67.5°F and a low of 48.7°F, so today's high is 1.7°F warmer than that average.
How much has Cary warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Cary is about 2.2°F warmer.
How much does it rain in Cary?
Cary receives about 45.5 inches of precipitation per year on long-term average, with July typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Cary?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Cary is about 60.0°F. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Cary by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Cary (°F, full record since 1940): January 50°/33°, February 54°/35°, March 62°/42°, April 71°/51°, May 79°/59°, June 85°/67°, July 88°/71°, August 86°/70°, September 80°/64°, October 71°/52°, November 62°/43°, December 53°/36°.
What is the weather like in Cary in summer?
Summer in Cary (June to August) is wet and hot. Afternoons run 85–88°F and nights 67–71°F; July is the warmest month. Rain falls on about 12 days a month, adding up to around 4.5 inches. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Cary in winter?
Winter in Cary (December to February) is cool. Expect 50–54°F by day and 33–36°F at night, with January the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 3.5 inches a month, spread over roughly 8 days.
What is the weather like in Cary in spring?
Spring in Cary (March to May) is mild. March starts at 62°F by day and 42°F at night; by May it is 79°F and 59°F. Rain falls on about 8 days a month, adding up to around 3.7 inches.
What is the weather like in Cary in autumn?
Autumn in Cary (September to November) is mild. September still brings 80°F afternoons and 64°F nights, November only 62°F and 43°F. Rain is steady at around 3.4 inches a month, spread over roughly 7 days.
How many days a year does it rain in Cary?
On long-term average, Cary has about 104 days a year with at least 0.08 inches of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 45.5 inches.

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