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Bukoba weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Warmth in Bukoba is remarkably steady: only 1.0°C separates the warmest month from the coolest, so there is no cold season to speak of. The heavier rain months run from October to May. Bukoba weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−0.7°Chigh near average

24° / 21°Today
25° / 18°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.7°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49293days above 25°C a year now (2016–2025) · 105 in the 1940sdays above 25°C · 105 in the 1940s+1.7°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 137 mmhigh 25°low 18°February, rain 136 mmhigh 26°low 19°March, rain 178 mmhigh 26°low 19°April, rain 213 mmhigh 25°low 19°May, rain 144 mmhigh 25°low 18°June, rain 50 mmhigh 25°low 17°July, rain 33 mmhigh 25°low 17°August, rain 75 mmhigh 25°low 17°September, rain 118 mmhigh 25°low 18°October, rain 158 mmhigh 25°low 18°November, rain 181 mmhigh 25°low 18°December, rain 154 mmhigh 25°low 18°wettest month April, 213 mm · 1,578 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Overcast

Right now

21.0°

24°feels like
87%humidity
19°dew point
2 km/hfrom W
UV index0.0
sunrise06:34sunset18:42day length12h 08m
FriThunderstorm24°21°
SatThunderstorm25°21°
SunOvercast24°20°
MonOvercast26°20°
TueOvercast26°21°
WedOvercast28°19°
ThuOvercast29°20°

On this date: October 15

Today (forecast)
24° / 21°
Average for October 15
25° / 18°

High near average · −0.7°C

  • Record high: 28.8° · 2024
  • Record low: 15.4° · 1999
  • One year ago: 28° / 19°

Every October 15 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 15 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Bukoba is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 1.33°S, 31.81°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
1.33°S, 31.81°E
Time zone
Africa/Dar es Salaam
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

31 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.5°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in February, at around 25.8°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 18.5°C. The coolest month is July, when afternoons reach about 24.9°C and overnight lows sit around 17.0°C.

The yearly total for Bukoba comes to about 1,578 mm; monthly amounts range from 33 mm in July up to 213 mm in April.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Bukoba now averages 1.7°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. The count of days past 25°C has risen from roughly 105 a year to 295 between the record's first and last decades.

Climate graph (climograph)

February is the warmest month, July the coolest: a yearly swing of 1°C. Wettest month: April (~213 mm). Whole year averages ~1,578 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Bukoba month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightRecord highRecord low
January25.4°18.3°137 mm12.1 h30.2° (2017)15.0° (1960)
February25.8°18.5°136 mm12.0 h30.8° (2005)13.9° (1978)
March25.6°18.7°178 mm12.0 h30.0° (2025)15.8° (1972)
April25.0°18.8°213 mm12.0 h28.9° (2019)15.0° (1959)
May24.9°18.5°144 mm11.9 h28.7° (2024)15.0° (1943)
June24.9°17.4°50 mm11.9 h29.6° (2024)13.3° (1945)
July24.9°17.0°33 mm11.9 h29.1° (2024)12.8° (1944)
August25.1°17.4°75 mm12.0 h29.0° (2021)12.9° (1963)
September25.2°17.7°118 mm12.0 h30.5° (1997)14.1° (1958)
October25.0°18.2°158 mm12.0 h29.2° (2002)13.9° (1958)
November24.7°18.2°181 mm12.1 h28.5° (2018)15.4° (1975)
December24.9°18.1°154 mm12.1 h29.3° (1987)14.5° (1964)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.7°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.22°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.24°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 25°C per year: 105.2 early in the record → 293.2 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2005, all-time low in 1944: 30.8°C / 12.8°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,578 mm/year on average. Last decade: −11% vs that average. Long-term trend: −20 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Bukoba

Which is the warmest month in Bukoba?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Bukoba is February (mean daily temperature of about 22.0°C) and the coolest is July (about 21.0°C).
How does today's temperature in Bukoba compare to the historical average?
On October 15, 2026, Bukoba is forecast to reach a high of 24.4°C and a low of 21.0°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 25.1°C and a low of 18.2°C, so today's high is 0.7°C cooler than that average.
How much has Bukoba warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Bukoba is about 1.7°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Bukoba?
Bukoba receives about 1,578 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with April typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Bukoba?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Bukoba is about 21.5°C. The warmest month is February and the coolest is July.
What are the average temperatures in Bukoba by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Bukoba (°C, full record since 1940): January 25°/18°, February 26°/19°, March 26°/19°, April 25°/19°, May 25°/18°, June 25°/17°, July 25°/17°, August 25°/17°, September 25°/18°, October 25°/18°, November 25°/18°, December 25°/18°.

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