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Bağcılar weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures in Bağcılar follow a clear seasonal rhythm, rising and falling by 17.4°C over the course of the year. The warm months are largely dry. Most of the year's rain arrives between October and March. Bağcılar weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−2.8°Chigh below average

15° / 10°Today
18° / 14°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.9°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–492frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 10 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 10 in the 1940s4days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 1 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 1 in the 1940s+1.9°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 87 mmhigh 8°low 5°February, rain 70 mmhigh 8°low 5°March, rain 64 mmhigh 9°low 6°April, rain 45 mmhigh 13°low 9°May, rain 31 mmhigh 18°low 14°June, rain 27 mmhigh 23°low 18°July, rain 19 mmhigh 26°low 21°August, rain 18 mmhigh 26°low 21°September, rain 35 mmhigh 23°low 19°October, rain 58 mmhigh 18°low 15°November, rain 74 mmhigh 14°low 11°December, rain 96 mmhigh 10°low 7°wettest month December, 96 mm · 622 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

12.2°

12°feels like
90%humidity
11°dew point
4 km/hfrom SW
UV index0.0
sunrise07:19sunset18:19day length11h 01m
TodayOvercast15°10°
MonPartly cloudy17°12°
TueMostly clear21°13°
WedClear21°11°
ThuOvercast21°12°
FriOvercast17°14°
SatPartly cloudy16°12°

On this date: October 18

Today (forecast)
15° / 10°
Average for October 18
18° / 14°

High below average · −2.8°C

  • Record high: 23.1° · 2012
  • Record low: 5.8° · 2011
  • One year ago: 18° / 16°

Every October 18 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 18 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Bağcılar is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 41.04°N, 28.86°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
41.04°N, 28.86°E
Time zone
Europe/Istanbul
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

11 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: −0.6°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in August, at around 26.1°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 21.4°C. Around 85 nights a year stay above 20°C. In February, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 7.8°C and nights dip to 4.6°C.

Bağcılar picks up roughly 622 mm a year, with a peak of 96 mm in December and as little as 18 mm in August.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Bağcılar now averages 1.9°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. That last decade has also been the warmest in the record.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, February the coolest: a yearly swing of 17°C. Wettest month: December (~96 mm). Whole year averages ~622 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 72 rainy days a year: most in December (~10), fewest in July (~2).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Bağcılar month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January7.7°4.7°87 mm109.4 h18.2° (2010)−6.6° (1942)
February7.8°4.6°70 mm910.4 h17.7° (1955)−5.1° (1985)
March9.3°5.8°64 mm811.7 h20.7° (2001)−3.6° (1987)
April13.3°9.1°45 mm613.1 h21.6° (1952)2.2° (1943)
May18.1°13.6°31 mm414.3 h28.3° (2013)6.7° (1995)
June23.2°18.4°27 mm314.9 h31.4° (2007)11.6° (1990)
July25.9°21.0°19 mm214.7 h33.3° (2025)15.6° (1985)
August26.1°21.4°18 mm213.6 h32.5° (2002)15.5° (1965)
September22.8°18.5°35 mm412.3 h30.4° (2015)9.0° (1970)
October18.2°14.6°58 mm610.9 h27.8° (2003)4.2° (1972)
November13.9°10.7°74 mm79.7 h26.6° (2023)−0.6° (1941)
December10.0°7.1°96 mm109.1 h20.1° (2010)−6.3° (1941)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.9°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.18°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Jun–Aug is warming fastest: +0.21°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 0.5 early in the record → 4.2 recently. Frost days: 10 → 2.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2025, all-time low in 1942: 33.3°C / −6.6°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~622 mm/year on average. Last decade: −3% vs that average. Long-term trend: −1 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Bağcılar

Which is the warmest month in Bağcılar?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Bağcılar is August (mean daily temperature of about 23.7°C) and the coolest is February (about 6.3°C).
How does today's temperature in Bağcılar compare to the historical average?
On October 18, 2026, Bağcılar is forecast to reach a high of 14.7°C and a low of 9.7°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 17.5°C and a low of 14.4°C, so today's high is 2.8°C cooler than that average.
How much has Bağcılar warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Bağcılar is about 1.9°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Bağcılar?
Bağcılar receives about 622 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with December typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Bağcılar?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Bağcılar is about 14.5°C. The warmest month is August and the coolest is February.
What are the average temperatures in Bağcılar by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Bağcılar (°C, full record since 1940): January 8°/5°, February 8°/5°, March 9°/6°, April 13°/9°, May 18°/14°, June 23°/18°, July 26°/21°, August 26°/21°, September 23°/19°, October 18°/15°, November 14°/11°, December 10°/7°.
What is the weather like in Bağcılar in summer?
Summer in Bağcılar (June to August) is pleasantly warm. Expect 23–26°C by day and 18–21°C at night, with August the warmest month. Rain falls on about 2 days a month, adding up to around 21 mm. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in Bağcılar in winter?
Winter in Bağcılar (December to February) is on the cool side. Daytime highs sit at 8–10°C and nights at 5–7°C; February is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 84 mm a month, spread over roughly 10 days. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Bağcılar in spring?
March to May is spring in Bağcılar, and it is cool. It warms from 9°C by day and 6°C at night in March to 18°C and 14°C in May. Rain falls off from 64 mm on 8 days in March to 31 mm on 4 days in May.
What is the weather like in Bağcılar in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Bağcılar is mild. September still brings 23°C afternoons and 19°C nights, November only 14°C and 11°C. Rain picks up through the season: 4 rainy days and 35 mm in September, 7 days and 74 mm in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Bağcılar?
On long-term average, Bağcılar has about 72 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 622 mm.

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