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Arlington weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Arlington swings through a wide annual range, with 39.8°F between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. Rainfall leans toward the stretch from March to June. Arlington weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−1.1°Fhigh near average

77° / 51°Today
78° / 56°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+3.4°Faverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4918frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 22 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 22 in the 1940s138days above 86°F a year now (2016–2025) · 96 in the 1940sdays above 86°F · 96 in the 1940s+3.4°F vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 2.3 incheshigh 56°low 37°February, rain 2.7 incheshigh 61°low 41°March, rain 3.5 incheshigh 69°low 48°April, rain 4.5 incheshigh 76°low 56°May, rain 5.2 incheshigh 83°low 65°June, rain 3.1 incheshigh 90°low 72°July, rain 1.6 incheshigh 94°low 76°August, rain 1.8 incheshigh 95°low 75°September, rain 2.6 incheshigh 88°low 69°October, rain 3.3 incheshigh 79°low 58°November, rain 3.2 incheshigh 67°low 48°December, rain 2.6 incheshigh 59°low 40°wettest month May, 5.2 inches · 36.5 inches a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

63.7°

61°feels like
54%humidity
47°dew point
4 mphfrom SE
UV index0.0
sunrise07:35sunset18:50day length11h 15m
MonClear77°51°
TodayOvercast79°56°
WedClear81°55°
ThuOvercast83°67°
FriOvercast84°67°
SatOvercast82°66°
SunOvercast78°68°

On this date: October 20

Today (forecast)
77° / 51°
Average for October 20
78° / 56°

High near average · −1.1°F

  • Highest since 1940: 92.7° · 2023
  • Lowest since 1940: 35.1° · 1989
  • One year ago: 90° / 57°

Every October 20 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 20 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Arlington is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 32.74°N, 97.11°W, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
32.74°N, 97.11°W
Time zone
America/Chicago
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

25 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +5.6°F.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is August, with typical afternoon highs of 94.7°F and nights around 75.4°F. Around 135 nights a year stay above 68°F. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 56.3°F and overnight lows sit around 37.2°F. Frost shows up on around 20 mornings a year.

Arlington picks up roughly 36.5 inches a year, with a peak of 5.2 inches in May and as little as 1.6 inches in July.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Arlington has climbed 3.4°F from the first ten years to the last ten. The count of days past 86°F has risen from roughly 95 a year to 140 between the record's first and last decades.

Climate graph (climograph)

August is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 40°F. Wettest month: May (~5.2 in). Whole year averages ~36.5 inches of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 71 rainy days a year: most in May (~9), fewest in August (~4).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 0.08 in per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Arlington month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January56.3°37.2°2.3 in510.1 h83.9° (2023)7.9° (1982)
February60.7°41.0°2.7 in610.8 h92.2° (1996)−1.1° (2021)
March68.7°48.1°3.5 in811.8 h96.3° (1974)15.8° (2014)
April76.5°56.5°4.5 in812.8 h98.8° (2006)31.1° (1975)
May82.8°64.5°5.2 in913.7 h100.5° (1985)39.8° (2013)
June89.9°72.0°3.1 in614.1 h107.1° (1980)53.7° (1964)
July94.3°75.6°1.6 in414.0 h107.4° (2018)60.4° (1972)
August94.7°75.4°1.8 in413.2 h109.0° (2023)56.3° (1992)
September87.9°68.7°2.6 in512.2 h107.9° (2023)42.8° (1984)
October78.6°58.5°3.3 in611.2 h97.7° (2024)27.0° (1993)
November66.9°47.8°3.2 in510.3 h92.9° (2017)20.2° (1976)
December58.8°40.3°2.6 in69.9 h88.9° (1955)−0.8° (1989)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +3.4°F.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.37°F per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.48°F per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 86°F per year: 96.4 early in the record → 138.1 recently. Frost days: 22 → 18.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2023, coldest in 2021: 109.0°F / −1.1°F.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~36.5 in/year on average. Last decade: +9% vs that average. Long-term trend: +0.71 in per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Arlington

Which is the warmest month in Arlington?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Arlington is August (mean daily temperature of about 84.7°F) and the coolest is January (about 44.9°F).
How does today's temperature in Arlington compare to the historical average?
On October 20, 2026, Arlington is forecast to reach a high of 77.2°F and a low of 51.3°F. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 78.2°F and a low of 56.3°F, so today's high is 1.1°F cooler than that average.
How much has Arlington warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Arlington is about 3.4°F warmer.
How much does it rain in Arlington?
Arlington receives about 36.5 inches of precipitation per year on long-term average, with May typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Arlington?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Arlington is about 65.7°F. The warmest month is August and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Arlington by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Arlington (°F, full record since 1940): January 56°/37°, February 61°/41°, March 69°/48°, April 76°/56°, May 83°/65°, June 90°/72°, July 94°/76°, August 95°/75°, September 88°/69°, October 79°/58°, November 67°/48°, December 59°/40°.
What is the weather like in Arlington in summer?
In summer, June through August, Arlington is hot. Expect 90–95°F by day and 72–76°F at night, with August the warmest month. Rain falls off from 3.1 inches on 6 days in June to 1.8 inches on 4 days in August.
What is the weather like in Arlington in winter?
Winter in Arlington (December to February) is cool. Daytime highs sit at 56–61°F and nights at 37–41°F; January is the coldest month. Rain is steady at around 2.5 inches a month, spread over roughly 6 days.
What is the weather like in Arlington in spring?
March to May is spring in Arlington, and it is wet and pleasantly warm. March starts at 69°F by day and 48°F at night; by May it is 83°F and 65°F. Rain picks up through the season: 8 rainy days and 3.5 inches in March, 9 days and 5.2 inches in May. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Arlington in autumn?
Autumn in Arlington (September to November) is pleasantly warm. September is still 88°F by day and 69°F at night; by November it is down to 67°F and 48°F. Rain is steady at around 3.0 inches a month, spread over roughly 5 days.
How many days a year does it rain in Arlington?
On long-term average, Arlington has about 71 days a year with at least 0.08 inches of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 36.5 inches.

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