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Ardabīl weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Seasons run to extremes in Ardabīl: monthly means span 22.7°C between the coldest month and the warmest. Rain here skips the warm season: the bulk of it falls from February to May. Ardabīl weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

−0.8°Chigh near average

19° / 5°Today
20° / 7°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.7°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–4988frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 124 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 124 in the 1940s46days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 18 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 18 in the 1940s+2.7°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 41 mmhigh 3°low −7°February, rain 46 mmhigh 5°low −5°March, rain 63 mmhigh 9°low −2°April, rain 70 mmhigh 16°low 4°May, rain 70 mmhigh 21°low 8°June, rain 29 mmhigh 25°low 12°July, rain 14 mmhigh 27°low 14°August, rain 15 mmhigh 27°low 14°September, rain 28 mmhigh 24°low 11°October, rain 55 mmhigh 19°low 7°November, rain 51 mmhigh 12°low 1°December, rain 41 mmhigh 6°low −4°wettest month April, 70 mm · 524 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Fog

Right now

12.6°

13°feels like
99%humidity
13°dew point
4 km/hfrom E
UV index0.0
sunrise06:22sunset17:43day length11h 21m
TodayMostly clear19°5°
TueOvercast24°10°
WedOvercast25°11°
ThuOvercast28°12°
FriOvercast28°16°
SatMostly clear27°16°
SunClear27°12°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
19° / 5°
Average for October 12
20° / 7°

High near average · −0.8°C

  • Record high: 27.6° · 2004
  • Record low: −2.0° · 1962
  • One year ago: 26° / 7°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Ardabīl is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 38.25°N, 48.29°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
38.25°N, 48.29°E
Time zone
Asia/Tehran
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

24 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +2.0°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

July brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 27.2°C and nights around 14.3°C. Roughly 45 days a year now top 30°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 3.4°C and overnight lows sit around −6.7°C.

Ardabīl picks up roughly 524 mm a year, with a peak of 70 mm in April and as little as 14 mm in July.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Ardabīl now averages 2.7°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Frost days have thinned out, from around 125 a year in the first decade to about 90 now.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 23°C. Wettest month: April (~70 mm). Whole year averages ~524 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 73 rainy days a year: most in May (~10), fewest in July (~2).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Ardabīl month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightRecord highRecord low
January3.4°−6.7°41 mm69.6 h16.6° (2000)−29.7° (1940)
February4.9°−5.4°46 mm710.6 h19.7° (1955)−29.0° (1967)
March9.2°−1.8°63 mm911.7 h26.1° (2010)−20.8° (1948)
April15.8°3.7°70 mm1013.0 h30.2° (2005)−14.8° (1981)
May20.7°8.4°70 mm1014.1 h33.3° (2021)−14.5° (1992)
June24.7°11.8°29 mm414.6 h38.2° (2018)0.3° (1967)
July27.2°14.3°14 mm214.4 h38.6° (1973)6.6° (1958)
August27.4°14.2°15 mm213.5 h38.8° (2015)5.5° (2020)
September24.3°11.3°28 mm412.2 h36.5° (1998)2.2° (1956)
October18.7°6.8°55 mm711.0 h30.6° (2022)−13.4° (1977)
November11.7°1.0°51 mm69.9 h23.5° (1970)−20.6° (1958)
December5.7°−4.2°41 mm69.4 h20.2° (2023)−23.8° (1948)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.7°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.36°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Mar–May is warming fastest: +0.46°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 17.6 early in the record → 46.0 recently. Frost days: 124 → 88.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2015, all-time low in 1940: 38.8°C / −29.7°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~524 mm/year on average. Last decade: −1% vs that average. Long-term trend: +5 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Ardabīl

Which is the warmest month in Ardabīl?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Ardabīl is July (mean daily temperature of about 20.6°C) and the coolest is January (about −2.1°C).
How does today's temperature in Ardabīl compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Ardabīl is forecast to reach a high of 19.1°C and a low of 5.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 19.9°C and a low of 7.4°C, so today's high is 0.8°C cooler than that average.
How much has Ardabīl warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Ardabīl is about 2.7°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Ardabīl?
Ardabīl receives about 524 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with April typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Ardabīl?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Ardabīl is about 10.1°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Ardabīl by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Ardabīl (°C, full record since 1940): January 3°/−7°, February 5°/−5°, March 9°/−2°, April 16°/4°, May 21°/8°, June 25°/12°, July 27°/14°, August 27°/14°, September 24°/11°, October 19°/7°, November 12°/1°, December 6°/−4°.
What is the weather like in Ardabīl in summer?
June to August is summer in Ardabīl, and it is dry and warm. Afternoons run 25–27°C and nights 12–14°C; August is the warmest month. Rain eases through the season: 4 rainy days and 29 mm in June, 2 days and 15 mm in August. No season is drier.
What is the weather like in Ardabīl in winter?
Winter in Ardabīl (December to February) is cold. Expect 3–6°C by day and −7 to −4°C at night, with January the coldest month. Rain and snow fall on about 6 days a month, adding up to around 43 mm.
What is the weather like in Ardabīl in spring?
Spring in Ardabīl (March to May) is fairly mild. It warms from 9°C by day and −2°C at night in March to 21°C and 8°C in May. Rain is steady at around 68 mm a month, spread over roughly 10 days. No season is wetter.
What is the weather like in Ardabīl in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Ardabīl is mild. It cools from 24°C by day and 11°C at night in September to 12°C and 1°C in November. Rain rises from 28 mm on 4 days in September to 51 mm on 6 days in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Ardabīl?
On long-term average, Ardabīl has about 73 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 524 mm.

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