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Al Madīnah weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Al Madīnah swings through a wide annual range, with 26.5°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. Precipitation is scarce in every season. Al Madīnah weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+0.2°Chigh near average

35° / 26°Today
35° / 20°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.4°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49223days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 217 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 217 in the 1940s+1.4°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 28 mmhigh 18°low 8°February, rain 19 mmhigh 21°low 9°March, rain 22 mmhigh 26°low 13°April, rain 14 mmhigh 33°low 19°May, rain 4 mmhigh 40°low 25°June, rain 0 mmhigh 44°low 29°July, rain 0 mmhigh 46°low 31°August, rain 0 mmhigh 46°low 31°September, rain 0 mmhigh 43°low 27°October, rain 6 mmhigh 36°low 21°November, rain 26 mmhigh 26°low 14°December, rain 26 mmhigh 20°low 9°wettest month January, 28 mm · 144 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

27.2°

27°feels like
37%humidity
11°dew point
8 km/hfrom SE
UV index0.0
sunrise05:58sunset17:12day length11h 14m
ThuOvercast35°26°
FriOvercast37°22°
SatOvercast35°24°
SunOvercast35°22°
MonPartly cloudy36°22°
TuePartly cloudy37°22°
WedOvercast35°23°

On this date: October 21

Today (forecast)
35° / 26°
Average for October 21
35° / 20°

High near average · +0.2°C

  • Highest since 1940: 40.2° · 2006
  • Lowest since 1940: 12.8° · 1984
  • One year ago: 34° / 20°

Every October 21 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 21 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Al Madīnah is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 30.96°N, 47.27°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
30.96°N, 47.27°E
Time zone
Asia/Baghdad
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

31 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +3.7°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

July brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 46.1°C and nights around 31.4°C. On about 195 nights a year, the temperature never drops below 20°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 18.1°C and overnight lows sit around 7.6°C.

Al Madīnah averages only about 144 mm a year, and what little falls comes mostly around January.

Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Al Madīnah has risen by 1.4°C between its first decade and its last. Recent years have brought more rain as well. The last decade sits roughly 12% over the long-term average.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 26°C. Wettest month: January (~28 mm). Whole year averages ~144 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 16 rainy days a year: most in January (~3), fewest in June (almost none).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Al Madīnah month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January18.1°7.6°28 mm310.2 h29.7° (1994)−4.4° (1964)
February21.1°9.4°19 mm210.9 h33.7° (2021)−1.0° (1967)
March26.2°13.4°22 mm211.8 h41.6° (2018)3.1° (1985)
April32.8°19.1°14 mm212.8 h43.8° (2025)8.0° (1956)
May39.6°25.2°4 mm013.6 h50.0° (1999)14.5° (1962)
June44.2°29.5°0 mm014.0 h51.2° (2010)19.2° (1967)
July46.1°31.4°0 mm013.8 h52.6° (2020)24.8° (1952)
August46.0°30.8°0 mm013.1 h52.6° (1998)23.3° (1971)
September42.7°26.7°0 mm012.2 h49.6° (2023)18.2° (1971)
October35.9°21.0°6 mm111.2 h45.5° (2021)11.7° (2024)
November26.3°14.2°26 mm210.4 h36.6° (2001)3.4° (1958)
December19.8°9.1°26 mm310.0 h30.6° (2015)0.1° (1953)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.4°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.27°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Jun–Aug is warming fastest: +0.32°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 216.9 early in the record → 223.0 recently. Frost days: 1 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 2020, coldest in 1964: 52.6°C / −4.4°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~144 mm/year on average. Last decade: +12% vs that average. Long-term trend: +5 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Al Madīnah

Which is the warmest month in Al Madīnah?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Al Madīnah is July (mean daily temperature of about 39.0°C) and the coolest is January (about 12.5°C).
How does today's temperature in Al Madīnah compare to the historical average?
On October 21, 2026, Al Madīnah is forecast to reach a high of 34.8°C and a low of 26.3°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 34.6°C and a low of 20.0°C, so today's high is about equal to that average.
How much has Al Madīnah warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Al Madīnah is about 1.4°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Al Madīnah?
Al Madīnah receives about 144 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with January typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Al Madīnah?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Al Madīnah is about 26.5°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Al Madīnah by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Al Madīnah (°C, full record since 1940): January 18°/8°, February 21°/9°, March 26°/13°, April 33°/19°, May 40°/25°, June 44°/29°, July 46°/31°, August 46°/31°, September 43°/27°, October 36°/21°, November 26°/14°, December 20°/9°.
What is the weather like in Al Madīnah in summer?
June to August is summer in Al Madīnah, and it is dry and really hot. Daytime highs sit at 44–46°C and nights at 29–31°C; July is the warmest month. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in Al Madīnah in winter?
Winter in Al Madīnah (December to February) is mild. Afternoons run 18–21°C and nights 8–9°C; January is the coldest month. Rain falls on about 3 days a month, adding up to around 24 mm. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in Al Madīnah in spring?
Spring in Al Madīnah (March to May) is dry and hot. It warms from 26°C by day and 13°C at night in March to 40°C and 25°C in May. Rain falls off from 22 mm in March to 4 mm in May.
What is the weather like in Al Madīnah in autumn?
Autumn in Al Madīnah (September to November) is dry and hot. September is still 43°C by day and 27°C at night; by November it is down to 26°C and 14°C. Rain rises from 0 mm in September to 26 mm in November.
How many days a year does it rain in Al Madīnah?
On long-term average, Al Madīnah has about 16 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 144 mm.

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