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El Fasher weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Average temperatures in El Fasher follow a clear seasonal rhythm, rising and falling by 10.6°C over the course of the year. Precipitation is scarce in every season. El Fasher weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+1.7°Chigh above average

37° / 22°Today
35° / 22°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+2.3°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49298days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 243 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 243 in the 1940s+2.3°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 0 mmhigh 28°low 12°February, rain 0 mmhigh 30°low 13°March, rain 0 mmhigh 34°low 17°April, rain 1 mmhigh 36°low 20°May, rain 6 mmhigh 37°low 23°June, rain 13 mmhigh 37°low 23°July, rain 76 mmhigh 34°low 23°August, rain 101 mmhigh 32°low 22°September, rain 27 mmhigh 34°low 22°October, rain 9 mmhigh 34°low 21°November, rain 1 mmhigh 31°low 16°December, rain 0 mmhigh 28°low 13°wettest month August, 101 mm · 235 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Clear

Right now

33.9°

32°feels like
12%humidity
1°dew point
2 km/hfrom E
UV index10.3
sunrise06:09sunset18:01day length11h 52m
TodayClear37°22°
TueClear36°22°
WedMostly clear37°23°
ThuClear38°25°
FriClear37°24°
SatClear37°23°
SunClear36°23°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
37° / 22°
Average for October 12
35° / 22°

High above average · +1.7°C

  • Record high: 38.2° · 2021
  • Record low: 16.1° · 1946
  • One year ago: 36° / 25°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for El Fasher is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 13.63°N, 25.35°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
13.63°N, 25.35°E
Time zone
Africa/Khartoum
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

31 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +3.2°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

May brings the year's peak warmth, with afternoons typically reaching 37.3°C and nights around 22.6°C. On about 220 nights a year, the temperature never drops below 20°C. The coolest month is January, when afternoons reach about 28.2°C and overnight lows sit around 11.6°C.

The annual total in El Fasher is just 235 mm or so, with August the most likely month to see any of it.

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, El Fasher now averages 2.3°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. You can follow the shift year by year in the charts below.

Climate graph (climograph)

May is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 11°C. Wettest month: August (~101 mm). Whole year averages ~235 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

El Fasher month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightRecord highRecord low
January28.2°11.6°0 mm11.3 h38.0° (2010)3.3° (1969)
February30.4°13.4°0 mm11.6 h39.2° (2005)3.3° (1982)
March33.6°17.1°0 mm11.9 h41.2° (1980)6.9° (1940)
April36.3°20.1°1 mm12.3 h41.7° (2003)8.3° (1982)
May37.3°22.6°6 mm12.6 h41.9° (2018)12.1° (1944)
June36.9°23.4°13 mm12.8 h41.9° (2024)16.6° (1945)
July34.0°23.0°76 mm12.7 h40.6° (1983)17.6° (1985)
August32.1°22.2°101 mm12.5 h39.9° (2009)17.2° (1950)
September34.3°22.2°27 mm12.1 h39.9° (2008)15.8° (1943)
October34.4°21.4°9 mm11.7 h39.4° (1979)13.4° (1977)
November31.2°16.4°1 mm11.4 h37.0° (1957)7.6° (1953)
December28.5°12.5°0 mm11.2 h35.3° (1958)3.6° (1971)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +2.3°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.30°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.36°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 243.1 early in the record → 297.6 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2024, all-time low in 1969: 41.9°C / 3.3°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~235 mm/year on average. Last decade: −7% vs that average. Long-term trend: −11 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about El Fasher

Which is the warmest month in El Fasher?
On long-term average, the warmest month in El Fasher is May (mean daily temperature of about 30.0°C) and the coolest is January (about 19.5°C).
How does today's temperature in El Fasher compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, El Fasher is forecast to reach a high of 36.7°C and a low of 22.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 35.0°C and a low of 22.0°C, so today's high is 1.7°C warmer than that average.
How much has El Fasher warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in El Fasher is about 2.3°C warmer.
How much does it rain in El Fasher?
El Fasher receives about 235 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with August typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in El Fasher?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in El Fasher is about 25.7°C. The warmest month is May and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in El Fasher by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in El Fasher (°C, full record since 1940): January 28°/12°, February 30°/13°, March 34°/17°, April 36°/20°, May 37°/23°, June 37°/23°, July 34°/23°, August 32°/22°, September 34°/22°, October 34°/21°, November 31°/16°, December 28°/13°.
What is the weather like in El Fasher in summer?
In summer, June through August, El Fasher is hot. June is still 37°C by day and 23°C at night; by August it is down to 32°C and 22°C. Rain rises from 13 mm in June to 101 mm in August. It is the wettest season of the year.
What is the weather like in El Fasher in winter?
Winter in El Fasher (December to February) is dry and warm. Expect 28–30°C by day and 12–13°C at night, with January the coldest month. Almost no rain.
What is the weather like in El Fasher in spring?
March to May is spring in El Fasher, and it is dry and really hot. Daytime highs sit at 34–37°C and nights at 17–23°C; May is the warmest month. Hardly any rain falls.
What is the weather like in El Fasher in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, El Fasher is dry and hot. Afternoons run 31–34°C and nights 16–22°C; November is the coldest month. Rain falls off from 27 mm in September to 1 mm in November.

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