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Aktobe weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Aktobe swings through a wide annual range, with 36.2°C between the monthly means of its warmest and coldest months. Rainfall is on the low side overall. Aktobe weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, extremes and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+10.3°Chigh well above average

20° / 0°Today
9° / 0°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.8°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49161frost days a year now (2016–2025) · 177 in the 1940sfrost days a year · 177 in the 1940s45days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 33 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 33 in the 1940s+1.8°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 33 mmhigh −10°low −17°February, rain 29 mmhigh −9°low −17°March, rain 34 mmhigh −2°low −10°April, rain 35 mmhigh 12°low 1°May, rain 34 mmhigh 21°low 8°June, rain 33 mmhigh 27°low 13°July, rain 35 mmhigh 29°low 16°August, rain 26 mmhigh 27°low 14°September, rain 27 mmhigh 20°low 8°October, rain 40 mmhigh 10°low 1°November, rain 38 mmhigh 0°low −7°December, rain 37 mmhigh −7°low −13°wettest month October, 40 mm · 399 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Mostly clear

Right now

10.3°

8°feels like
48%humidity
0°dew point
2 km/hfrom SE
UV index0.9
sunrise07:39sunset18:12day length10h 33m
TodayMostly clear20°0°
TueMostly clear10°1°
WedMostly clear13°−2°
ThuOvercast12°1°
FriOvercast11°−1°
SatMostly clear11°−3°
SunClear11°−6°

On this date: October 19

Today (forecast)
20° / 0°
Average for October 19
9° / 0°

High well above average · +10.3°C

  • Highest since 1940: 23.2° · 2009
  • Lowest since 1940: −15.0° · 1976
  • One year ago: 11° / 3°

Every October 19 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 19 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Aktobe is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 50.28°N, 57.21°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
50.28°N, 57.21°E
Time zone
Asia/Aqtobe
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

26 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +3.0°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The warmest month is July, with typical afternoon highs of 28.6°C and nights around 16.0°C. At the other extreme, January brings afternoon highs of about −10.0°C and typical overnight lows of −16.9°C. Around 160 days a year dip below freezing.

In total, Aktobe averages about 399 mm of precipitation a year; October is usually the wettest month (40 mm) and August the driest (26 mm).

Comparing the record's first decade with its most recent one, Aktobe now averages 1.8°C warmer than it did in the 1940s. Days above 30°C have grown noticeably more frequent, from around 35 a year in the first decade to about 45 in the last.

Climate graph (climograph)

July is the warmest month, January the coolest: a yearly swing of 36°C. Wettest month: October (~40 mm). Whole year averages ~399 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Rainy days by month

About 59 rainy days a year: most in December (~6), fewest in August (~3).

Bars = average number of days with ≥ 2 mm per month. Hover for the monthly rainfall total.

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Aktobe month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Highest and Lowest are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainRainy daysDaylightHighestLowest
January−10.0°−16.9°33 mm68.3 h3.9° (1975)−40.8° (1950)
February−9.0°−16.7°29 mm49.8 h4.0° (2016)−38.1° (1994)
March−1.9°−10.0°34 mm511.5 h21.2° (2008)−31.9° (1983)
April12.2°1.2°35 mm513.5 h29.6° (2012)−19.1° (1963)
May21.2°8.2°34 mm515.2 h36.5° (1952)−5.4° (1969)
June26.5°13.5°33 mm416.2 h39.4° (1967)1.0° (1992)
July28.6°16.0°35 mm515.8 h41.3° (1984)6.3° (1972)
August27.3°14.2°26 mm314.3 h41.3° (1940)3.1° (1976)
September20.4°8.0°27 mm412.4 h37.2° (2003)−4.4° (1955)
October10.2°0.5°40 mm610.4 h29.0° (2004)−20.8° (1968)
November0.0°−6.6°38 mm68.7 h15.1° (2006)−33.9° (1953)
December−6.9°−13.4°37 mm67.8 h8.2° (2008)−37.7° (1959)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.8°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.29°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Dec–Feb is warming fastest: +0.44°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 33.2 early in the record → 45.2 recently. Frost days: 177 → 161.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

Hottest day since 1940 in 1940, coldest in 1950: 41.3°C / −40.8°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~399 mm/year on average. Last decade: +1% vs that average. Long-term trend: +9 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Aktobe

Which is the warmest month in Aktobe?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Aktobe is July (mean daily temperature of about 22.9°C) and the coolest is January (about −13.2°C).
How does today's temperature in Aktobe compare to the historical average?
On October 19, 2026, Aktobe is forecast to reach a high of 19.7°C and a low of −0.4°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 9.4°C and a low of 0.2°C, so today's high is 10.3°C warmer than that average.
How much has Aktobe warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Aktobe is about 1.8°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Aktobe?
Aktobe receives about 399 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with October typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Aktobe?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Aktobe is about 5.3°C. The warmest month is July and the coolest is January.
What are the average temperatures in Aktobe by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Aktobe (°C, full record since 1940): January −10°/−17°, February −9°/−17°, March −2°/−10°, April 12°/1°, May 21°/8°, June 27°/13°, July 29°/16°, August 27°/14°, September 20°/8°, October 10°/1°, November 0°/−7°, December −7°/−13°.
What is the weather like in Aktobe in summer?
Summer in Aktobe (June to August) is warm. Afternoons run 27–29°C and nights 13–16°C; July is the warmest month. Rain falls on about 4 days a month, adding up to around 31 mm.
What is the weather like in Aktobe in winter?
Winter in Aktobe (December to February) is freezing. Expect −10 to −7°C by day and −17 to −13°C at night, with January the coldest month. Snow is steady at around 33 mm of precipitation a month, spread over roughly 5 days.
What is the weather like in Aktobe in spring?
March to May is spring in Aktobe, and it is on the cool side. It warms from −2°C by day and −10°C at night in March to 21°C and 8°C in May. Rain and snow are steady at around 34 mm a month, spread over roughly 5 days.
What is the weather like in Aktobe in autumn?
In autumn, September through November, Aktobe is on the cool side. September is still 20°C by day and 8°C at night; by November it is down to 0°C and −7°C. Rain and snow fall on about 5 days a month, adding up to around 35 mm.
How many days a year does it rain in Aktobe?
On long-term average, Aktobe has about 59 days a year with at least 2 mm of rain or snow. The annual total is roughly 399 mm.

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