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Abuja weather by month: averages, rainfall & climate trends

Warmth in Abuja is remarkably steady: only 6.1°C separates the warmest month from the coolest, so there is no cold season to speak of. Rainfall is strongly seasonal: the bulk of the year's rain falls between May and October. Abuja weather by month: average temperatures, rainfall, records and how the climate has changed since 1940.

Today vs average

+3.3°Chigh well above average

32° / 24°Today
29° / 21°Average
see today in detail →

How it's changed

+1.2°Caverage temperature, 2016–2025 vs 1940–1949average temperature vs 1940–49241days above 30°C a year now (2016–2025) · 206 in the 1940sdays above 30°C · 206 in the 1940s+1.2°C vs the 1940s · see how it's changed →
Weather by montha typical year, averaged over the full recordJanuary, rain 2 mmhigh 33°low 21°February, rain 7 mmhigh 35°low 22°March, rain 24 mmhigh 35°low 24°April, rain 65 mmhigh 33°low 24°May, rain 137 mmhigh 31°low 23°June, rain 188 mmhigh 28°low 22°July, rain 252 mmhigh 27°low 21°August, rain 288 mmhigh 27°low 21°September, rain 275 mmhigh 28°low 21°October, rain 135 mmhigh 29°low 21°November, rain 13 mmhigh 32°low 21°December, rain 3 mmhigh 33°low 20°wettest month August, 288 mm · 1,389 mm a yearsee month by month →

Right now

What it's doing today vs the historical average for this date.
Partly cloudy

Right now

26.3°

31°feels like
84%humidity
23°dew point
5 km/hfrom SE
UV index1.2
sunrise06:18sunset18:15day length11h 57m
TodayPartly cloudy32°24°
TueOvercast30°24°
WedPartly cloudy32°24°
ThuOvercast34°24°
FriOvercast33°23°
SatPartly cloudy33°24°
SunPartly cloudy31°24°

On this date: October 12

Today (forecast)
32° / 24°
Average for October 12
29° / 21°

High well above average · +3.3°C

  • Record high: 32.9° · 2021
  • Record low: 18.9° · 1954
  • One year ago: 27° / 21°

Every October 12 in history, coldest to hottest

▲ Daily highs▼ Daily lows

Dots show daily highs (top) and lows (bottom) for each October 12 on record (n = 87). Outlined dots are today's forecast.

Area we sample

Each city's history comes from one ERA5 grid cell, about 28 km across, shown by the dashed box. Near mountains or coasts, conditions can vary across the cell.

Location & data

Historical weather for Abuja is sampled from the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at 9.06°N, 7.50°E, with daily records since 1940.

Coordinates
9.06°N, 7.50°E
Time zone
Africa/Lagos
Period
1940–2026
Data source
ERA5 (ECMWF)

Last 30 days

28 of the last 31 days were warmer than the historical average for that date. Average difference: +1.4°C.

Each bar is one day, from morning low to afternoon high. Warm-colored bars are days whose mean ran above average; cool bars ran below. The dot inside the bar is the daily mean. The shaded band is the typical 10–90% range expected for that date. Average = the day's mean temperature averaged across every year of record (1940–2026) for that calendar date.

This date over the years

One dot per year, showing the mean temperature on this calendar date. Dots are warmer or cooler than the long-term average (dashed line); the shaded band is the typical 10–90% range, and the highlighted dot is today's forecast. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Weather by month

Average temperatures and rainfall for each month: a typical year, from the full record.

Climate overview

The year peaks in March, at around 35.0°C by mid-afternoon, with nights around 24.0°C. In August, the coolest month, afternoons reach about 26.6°C and nights dip to 20.8°C.

The yearly total for Abuja comes to about 1,389 mm; monthly amounts range from 2 mm in January up to 288 mm in August.

The record here starts in 1940, and since then the annual mean in Abuja has climbed 1.2°C from the first ten years to the last ten. No period since 1940 has been warmer than the most recent decade.

Climate graph (climograph)

March is the warmest month, August the coolest: a yearly swing of 6°C. Wettest month: August (~288 mm). Whole year averages ~1,389 mm of rain.

Bars = average monthly rainfall (right axis). Lines = average daily high and low (left axis). Average = each month's value averaged across every year of record (1940–2026).

Monthly wind

Average daily peak wind at 10 m, by month.

Monthly solar energy

Average daily incoming solar energy in megajoules per square metre: the record's own proxy for how sunny the month is.

Abuja month by month: what to expect

Typical conditions for each month, averaged across the full record (since 1940). Daylight is the time from sunrise to sunset. Record high/low are the most extreme values in the ERA5 dataset (modelled since 1940), so they can differ from official weather-station readings.

MonthAvg highAvg lowRainDaylightRecord highRecord low
January33.4°20.6°2 mm11.5 h38.0° (1987)14.2° (1957)
February34.7°22.4°7 mm11.7 h39.8° (2005)16.8° (1945)
March35.0°24.0°24 mm11.9 h40.1° (2005)18.3° (1993)
April33.5°24.1°65 mm12.2 h39.6° (2017)20.3° (1968)
May30.7°23.0°137 mm12.4 h39.3° (1987)19.9° (1945)
June28.5°21.8°188 mm12.5 h34.0° (1944)18.5° (1975)
July26.9°21.0°252 mm12.5 h32.3° (2015)17.8° (1950)
August26.6°20.8°288 mm12.3 h32.4° (2023)17.3° (1950)
September27.8°20.9°275 mm12.0 h32.7° (2024)17.9° (1947)
October29.4°21.2°135 mm11.8 h34.3° (2020)17.8° (1967)
November32.1°21.0°13 mm11.6 h37.1° (2013)16.4° (1981)
December33.1°20.4°3 mm11.5 h36.8° (2017)15.3° (2009)

How it's changed

Year-by-year signals from 1940 to today.

Climate stripes

Annual mean shifted from 1940–1949 to 2016–2025 by +1.2°C.

Each vertical stripe is one year. Color encodes how much that year's annual mean differed from the long-term average. Average = each year's annual mean compared to the average of all years (1940–2026). cooler ← → warmer

Annual mean temperature

Long-term trend: +0.16°C per decade.

One point per year, showing the temperature averaged across the whole year. The dashed line is the least-squares long-term trend. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Seasonal warming

Sep–Nov is warming fastest: +0.19°C per decade.

Each faint line is one three-month period's average per year; the bold dashed line is its long-term trend. Different parts of the year often warm at different rates. Based on ERA5 reanalysis: modelled estimates, not station readings.

Hot days vs frost days

Days ≥ 30°C per year: 206.4 early in the record → 241.1 recently. Frost days: 0 → 0.

Thin lines are raw yearly counts; thick lines are the smoothed trend that removes year-to-year noise. The hot-day threshold is auto-picked per city so the line actually moves. Average = a centered 5-year rolling average to smooth weather noise.

Yearly hot & cold extremes

All-time high in 2005, all-time low in 1957: 40.1°C / 14.2°C.

One point per year: the single hottest and coldest day recorded that year.

Annual rainfall

~1,389 mm/year on average. Last decade: −9% vs that average. Long-term trend: +18 mm per decade.

One bar per year of total rainfall. Dashed line is the long-term average. Average = the average annual rainfall across every year of record (1940–2026).

Day-by-day grid

Each tiny square is one calendar day across the full record, about 30,000 days per city. Use the mode switch above the chart: Anomaly colors each day by how far it ran from the historical average for that date (red = warmer, blue = cooler), Daily mean temp shows the absolute mean temperature for the day (useful to see seasons and heatwaves), and Precipitation shows daily rainfall (useful to spot wet/dry seasons and droughts). Average = the long-term average for that calendar date (1940–2026).

Frequently asked questions about Abuja

Which is the warmest month in Abuja?
On long-term average, the warmest month in Abuja is March (mean daily temperature of about 29.3°C) and the coolest is August (about 23.2°C).
How does today's temperature in Abuja compare to the historical average?
On October 12, 2026, Abuja is forecast to reach a high of 32.4°C and a low of 23.6°C. The long-term average for this date (the full record since 1940) is a high of 29.1°C and a low of 21.2°C, so today's high is 3.3°C warmer than that average.
How much has Abuja warmed since 1940?
Comparing the first decade of the record (1940–1949) with the most recent (2016–2025), the annual mean temperature in Abuja is about 1.2°C warmer.
How much does it rain in Abuja?
Abuja receives about 1,389 mm of precipitation per year on long-term average, with August typically the wettest month.
What is the average temperature in Abuja?
Over the full record (since 1940), the annual mean temperature in Abuja is about 26.0°C. The warmest month is March and the coolest is August.
What are the average temperatures in Abuja by month?
Average daily highs and lows for each month in Abuja (°C, full record since 1940): January 33°/21°, February 35°/22°, March 35°/24°, April 33°/24°, May 31°/23°, June 28°/22°, July 27°/21°, August 27°/21°, September 28°/21°, October 29°/21°, November 32°/21°, December 33°/20°.

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